Bitget App
Trade smarter
MarketsTradeFuturesStocksEarnInstitutionAI & More
The New Zealand Dollar edges off its low as the US Dollar slips

The New Zealand Dollar edges off its low as the US Dollar slips

FXStreetFXStreet2026/10/06 22:21

Traders give the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) about a 58% chance of raising its Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 3% on October 28, down from about 80% in late September, and NZD/USD has fallen with those odds. The pair trades just above 0.5600, and Tuesday's high was its first above the session before since September 28.

The RBNZ's own September forecast put the OCR at an average of 2.81% for the December quarter. That figure only works with no move on October 28 and a hike in December, which is the path traders have been drifting back toward.

The weaker Kiwi is adding to the inflation the RBNZ wants to stop

BNZ estimates the Kiwi's fall adds about 0.3 percentage points to its inflation forecast on top of dearer fuel, and the currency's trade-weighted index is at a 15-year low. Dearer imports are the case for hiking sooner, and the bank now expects an October move with the OCR reaching 3.75% in time. RBNZ Governor Breman said in September that the RBNZ isn't on a preset course, and since then the exchange rate has been setting one.

New Zealand's one event on the calendar has no time attached

Governor Breman speaks on Thursday, and no time has been published for the only New Zealand event through Friday. In May she cast the deciding vote for a hold when the committee split 3-3, so any lean she shows on October carries extra weight in a close call.

Fed minutes are due on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT, jobless claims on Thursday at 12:30 GMT are forecast at 200K from 197K, and Friday brings the University of Michigan (UoM) sentiment survey at 14:00 GMT. A 3K swing in claims is unlikely to move the Kiwi as far as one sentence from Governor Breman could.

Kiwi levels near the November 2025 low

Resistance: Tuesday's bounce stopped short of 0.5650, which hasn't traded since October 1. 0.5700 is next, the level that capped the late-September bounces.

Support: Monday's low, just under 0.5600, matched the November 2025 low. 0.5550 is next, then 0.5500.

Bias: The setup stays short below 0.5650 on a closing basis, with 0.5550 the first objective and 0.5500 the second. The daily Stochastic Relative Strength Index (Stoch RSI) has been below 20 since mid-September and is near 10, so a bounce toward 0.5650 fits the call. A daily close above 0.5700 ends it.

NZD/USD daily chart

0
0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

You may also like

Spotlight Stock Market halts trading in Tessin Nordic on Spotlight Stock Market

Spotlight Group’s Spotlight Stock Market halted trading in Tessin Nordic Holding shares listed on Spotlight Stock Market. Suspension took effect today, Oct. 9, 2026, with trading to remain halted until further notice. Action cited concerns that the company’s shares may not meet Spotlight Stock Market listing requirements. Disclaimer: This news brief was created by Public Technologies (PUBT) using generative artificial intelligence. While PUBT strives to provide accurate and timely information, this AI-generated content is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial, investment, or legal advice. Spotlight Group AB published the original content used to generate this news brief via Cision (Ref. ID: 202610090454BITN____UKPR__SV_20261009-BIT-1178-0) on October 09, 2026, and is solely responsible for the information contained therein.

Bitget•2026/10/09 08:55

BUZZ-U.S. telecom stocks fall after SpaceX reaches spectrum agreement

October 9th - SpaceX (SPCX.O) has reached an agreement to acquire a portfolio of nationwide low-frequency spectrum licenses, enabling Starlink Mobile to become a major telecom operator in the US, causing a pre-market decline in US telecom stocks. T-Mobile (TMUS.O) shares fell by 6.3%, AT&T by 5.7%, and Verizon (VZ.N) by 5.1%. According to The Wall Street Journal, citing sources familiar with the matter, SPCX will pay about 8 billion USD in cash to the seller, private equity firm Grain Management, to acquire the asset. The financial terms of the agreement have not yet been disclosed by either party. This deal increases competition for traditional carriers, transforming satellite direct-to-device technology from a supplementary safety feature for remote signal dead zones into a full-fledged commercial competitor replacing terrestrial cellular networks. "Although the three major carriers (T, TMUS, VZ) face a more concrete competitive threat due to their weak performance among high-speed data users (HSDs), this is not entirely unexpected and will most likely begin in rural areas," said Morgan Stanley. So far this year, TMUS is down 15.6%, VZ is up 13.7%, and T is slightly up. European telecom stocks were also impacted, including Germany’s Deutsche Telekom (DTEGn.DE). (To facilitate non-English-speaking users, Reuters automates its reports into several other languages. As automated translations may be inaccurate or lack required context, Reuters does not guarantee the accuracy of automated translations, which are provided solely for reader convenience. Reuters assumes no liability for any harm or loss arising from use of this automated translation feature.)

路透社•2026/10/09 08:46

BUZZ-SpaceX shares rise as it reaches agreement to acquire nationwide low-frequency spectrum portfolio

October 9th - SpaceX (SPCX.O) shares rose 3.8% in pre-market trading to $166.70. The company has reached an agreement to acquire nationwide low-frequency spectrum in order to challenge U.S. wireless carriers, according to The Wall Street Journal. SpaceX will pay about $8 billion to Grain Management for related assets, acquiring radio waves that can travel long distances and penetrate dense structures such as walls. The financial terms of the deal have not yet been disclosed. The acquisition is expected to strengthen the "direct-to-device" service of Starlink Mobile and reduce reliance on traditional base stations. The deal intensifies the competition between satellite communications and cellular networks, increasing the challenges facing existing wireless carriers. The transaction is still subject to approval by the U.S. Federal Communications Commission. As of the close of the previous trading day, SPCX shares had risen more than 18% from the IPO price of $135.

路透社•2026/10/09 08:36