Bitget VIP User Story: Trader Shi Guang "Think Beyond Consensus"

After seven years trading China’s stocks, Shi Guang moved into crypto before eventually returning to traditional markets. Today, as a Bitget VIP trader, much of his attention is focused on U.S. stock futures.

Moving between different markets has shaped the way he sees trading. What interests him most is not chasing the next price move, but finding the gap between value and price.

When fear takes hold of the market, he looks for assets whose prices may have fallen further than their underlying value warrants. When valuations stretch too far, he is willing to take the other side.

That does not mean he assumes he is always right. Quite the opposite. He leaves room for his own view to be challenged — and for the market to prove him wrong.

He is not afraid to go against the market. But he is never too attached to being right. That is perhaps the clearest impression Shi Guang has left on us.

01. The Market Gives a Price. He Looks for the Value

“Buy when it’s cheap, sell when it’s high.”

That is how Shi Guang describes his approach in the simplest terms.

An asset can trade at a high price or a low one. What matters to him is what lies behind that number: The Value — how much the asset is actually worth?

To Shi Guang, market price reflects the collective view of everyone participating in the market at a particular moment. It captures the market’s current consensus, shaped by sentiment, expectations and the flow of capital.

But consensus is constantly changing. It tells you how the market sees an asset right now. It does not necessarily tell you what the asset is truly worth.

Over years of trading, Shi Guang has developed a strong instinct for that discrepancy between price and value.

A rising price doesn’t necessarily mean an asset is worth more. And a falling price doesn’t necessarily mean it is worth less.

For him, price is a signal, not a conclusion.

The interesting part begins when the price starts to diverge from the value he sees underneath it.

As he puts it:

“Price tells you what the market looks like right now and what people are thinking, but it doesn’t necessarily tell you the value behind it.”

02. Value Comes First, Price Can Wait

Once Shi Guang has formed a view, he does not rush into a trade.

For him, buying something “cheap” is not about finding a low price. It means waiting until the market reaches a price where the opportunity makes sense.

He starts by forming his own view of an asset’s value. Then he waits for the market to bring the price into his preferred entry range. That is where the gap between price and value becomes actionable.

It also means he does not need to participate in every move.

If the price has not reached a level that fits his thesis, he is comfortable waiting. When the opportunity finally appears, he acts.

But having a view is only half the process. That view also has to survive contact with the market.

Shi Guang sets clear boundaries around his risk. If his overall account reaches a loss of around 5%, he will cut his position and step away rather than keep waiting for the market to return to his original expectations.

Know what you think it’s worth. Wait for the right price. Act when the opportunity comes, and walk away when the market proves you wrong.

03. From the Macro Picture to Individual Stocks: How He Forms a View

So how does Shi Guang decide whether the gap between price and value is real?

He looks at the market from several different angles — starting with the macro environment, then moving into fundamentals and technicals.

The macro picture tells him what to watch. Fed policy, nonfarm payrolls, geopolitical developments, Treasury yields, oil prices — these are not isolated headlines for him. They help define the environment in which markets are moving and provide clues about where capital and risk appetite may be heading.

When changes in interest rates or geopolitics shift the market’s appetite for risk, he looks more closely at which sectors and assets could be affected.

Fundamentals tell him why an opportunity may exist. If a company’s fundamentals have not materially deteriorated but its stock price falls sharply during a period of market panic, Shi Guang asks a simple question: is the company actually worth less, or has market sentiment simply driven its price down?

If he believes the latter is happening, he starts looking for the discrepancy — a situation where fear may have pushed the market price below what he believes the asset is worth.

That is where his contrarian instinct comes in.

Technicals help him decide when to act. Shi Guang mainly watches hourly and daily trends, together with changes in trading volume. A clear daily trend accompanied by rising volume can signal that a move still has room to run. On the other hand, heavy volume at the highs without further price rises can be a reason to step out.

For him, the pieces come together step by step:

The macro picture sets the context. Fundamentals shape his view of value. Technicals help him find the moment to act.

04. From China’s Stocks to Crypto to U.S. Stocks: Finding Where His Approach Fits

Shi Guang’s trading journey has taken him through several very different markets. But beneath those changes, his focus has remained remarkably consistent: understanding the asset itself and the forces that can change its value.

Interest rates, oil prices, geopolitics and macro policy can all influence how he sees a company or a market. For that reason, he needs an environment where information from different markets can be brought together and assessed efficiently.

On Bitget, Shi Guang primarily trades U.S. stock futures. He also uses market discovery tools and trending-topic feeds to find potential trading ideas.

With 24/7 U.S. stock trading, access to more than 1,000 stocks and ETFs, and a unified account, he can follow and trade across different markets within the same platform.

For Shi Guang, the VIP experience adds another layer to that workflow. Industry updates, strategy content and Level 2 data give him more information to work with as he evaluates different assets and turns scattered market signals into a clearer view of value.

05. Beyond Market Consensus, Keep Your Own View

From China’s stocks to crypto and now U.S. stock futures, Shi Guang has continued to look for the same thing: the gap between market price and underlying value.

But seeing an opportunity others miss is only part of the equation. Just as important is knowing when to reconsider your own view.

When fear takes over the market and pushes prices below what he believes an asset is worth, he is willing to step in. He is also comfortable going against the prevailing sentiment when he sees that gap between price and value.

But if price action and the facts begin to show that his original thesis is wrong, he is equally willing to step back and reassess.

Perhaps that is Shi Guang’s way of navigating the market:

Go against the trend when you see the opportunity, but never become attached to being right. Hold on to your own view, while respecting what the market tells you.

The market will always give you a new price.

Shi Guang’s job, as he sees it, is to look beyond that price — and keep a view of his own.

This article is based on an interview with trader Shi Guang. The views expressed are those of the interviewee and do not constitute investment advice. Contract trading involves a high level of risk and may result in the loss of your entire principal. Please make trading decisions based on your own risk tolerance.