Polymarket shows Kamala Harris' odds of winning at an all-time high of 45%

Key Takeaways

• Harris' odds of winning the US presidential election reached 45% on Polymarket, while Trump's fell to 53%.
• US election bets on Polymarket are nearing $500 million, with Harris now leading in 19 states.

Kamala Harris’ odds of winning the US presidential election reached an all-time high of 45% on prediction market Polymarket today. Meanwhile, Donald Trump’s odds fell to 53%, back to May levels.

Since Joe Biden left the race on July 21st, Harris’ odds have risen from 29% to the current 45%, with nearly $44 million bets on the outcome of the Democratic representative winning the election. Notably, since Trump was shot, his odds have fallen by 18%.

Moreover, Harris flipped last week’s landscape where she lost in every US state to win in 19 of them, such as California, Oregon, and Washington. However, Trump is still the favorite to win in four out of six swing states against Harris. Swing states are locations where both candidates have significant cha

US elections odds overview. Image: Poly market

The US elections are the hottest category on Polymarket by the total value in bets, with presidential predictions nearing $500 million. Another betting poll that is popular on the platform is related to the Democratic vice-presidential nominee, with $72.8 million in bets.

Josh Shapiro is leading with 77% odds and over $6 million in bets, while Mark Kelly stands at 8% and nearly $7 million allocated by Polymarket’s users. Additionally, the Democratic nominee for the race reached $300 million in bets today, with Harris dominating 99% of the odds.