Bitcoin Price Below 100K: Is This the Start of a Deeper Crash?

Bitcoin Price Suffers Another Major Drop

Bitcoin is once again testing traders’ nerves. The leading cryptocurrency fell sharply from $116,000 to around $107,300, marking a significant 3% decline within 24 hours. This sell-off follows a series of lower highs since mid-October, reinforcing concerns that Bitcoin’s bullish momentum may be losing steam.

The daily chart shows Bitcoin struggling to stay above the 200-day moving average (SMA), currently sitting near $109,800. This key line has served as a dynamic support throughout 2025, and a decisive break below it could accelerate bearish sentiment.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Key Levels to Watch

The $BTC/USD daily chart paints a clear picture of fragility. After multiple failed attempts to reclaim $111,000–$112,000, sellers have regained control. Momentum indicators are also turning bearish:

• RSI (Relative Strength Index) sits near 40, signaling fading buying pressure.
• MACD lines remain below zero, hinting that momentum could continue to tilt downward.
• The 50-day MA is trending below the 200-day SMA, a potential bearish crossover formation in progress.

BTC/USD 1-day chart - TradingView

If $Bitcoin closes decisively below $107,000, a critical psychological threshold, a cascade of stop-loss orders could trigger further downside.

Short-Term Bitcoin Prediction If Bitcoin Breaks Below 107K

If the 107K support gives way, the next key zones to watch are:

Support Level Zone Description Probability Impact

$106,000	Minor horizontal support from June swing lows	⚠️ High
$100,000	Psychological round number and prior breakout level	🔥 Very High
$92,800	Historical confluence from February consolidation	⚠️ Moderate
$75,000	2024 support floor and long-term bullish defense line	🧊 Low (unless panic selling)

A drop toward $100K would confirm a medium-term correction phase, wiping out nearly all gains made during the summer rally. A breach below $92,800 could then open the door for a deeper capitulation toward $75K, where Bitcoin last found strong buying interest in early 2024.

Bullish Bitcoin Prediction: Can Bitcoin Recover from Here?

For bulls, hope isn’t entirely lost. Bitcoin remains inside a long-term ascending channel and is still above last year’s average range. To invalidate the bearish outlook, BTC must reclaim $111,000, followed by a daily close above $116,000 to reestablish higher highs.

Until then, the market remains vulnerable. The technical structure suggests traders should monitor the $107K–$100K zone closely, as any breakdown could trigger volatility across the broader crypto market.