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Bitcoin (BTC) Testing Key MA Fractal Support — Will It Repeat the Bounce Back?

Bitcoin (BTC) Testing Key MA Fractal Support — Will It Repeat the Bounce Back?

CoinsProbeCoinsProbe2025/11/04 22:06
By:Nilesh Hembade

Date: Tue, Nov 04, 2025 | 06:20 PM GMT

The cryptocurrency market continues to swing wildly, erasing nearly 5% from the total market capitalization today. Both Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) have suffered sharp declines, contributing to more than $1.18 billion in total liquidations — with an overwhelming $1.0 billion coming from long positions.

BTC alone has dropped around 6% in the past 24 hours, but beneath this wave of bearish momentum, the chart is flashing something potentially more optimistic — a key moving average (MA) support that could once again play a decisive role in shaping Bitcoin’s next big move.

Bitcoin (BTC) Testing Key MA Fractal Support — Will It Repeat the Bounce Back? image 0 Source: Coinmarketcap

Testing Crucial 365-Day MA Support

On the daily timeframe, BTC has once again dropped to test its crucial 365-day MA — a level that has acted as a springboard for previous major rallies.

Back in August 2024 and April 2025, Bitcoin experienced sharp corrections that dragged its price to the same 365-day MA region, both times resulting in strong rebound rallies that carried BTC to new local highs.

Bitcoin (BTC) Testing Key MA Fractal Support — Will It Repeat the Bounce Back? image 1 BTC Daily Chart/Coinsprobe (Source: Tradingview)

Now, history seems to be rhyming. The latest correction has pushed BTC down to the $100,000 zone, where it is currently trading just below the 365-day MA ($101,958). The price also aligns with the lower boundary of a symmetrical broadening wedge, adding further technical confluence to this critical support area.

What’s Next for Bitcoin?

If the 365-day MA fractal support holds once again, BTC could be poised for a sharp recovery bounce from the $98K–$100K range. A rebound from this area could mark the end of the current deep correction phase and potentially set the stage for a move toward new all-time highs in the coming months.

However, the bullish fractal is not guaranteed. A decisive breakdown below $98,000 and failure to reclaim the 365-day MA could trigger another wave of selling, possibly extending the correction before any meaningful reversal occurs.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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