ADP report shows US labor market slowing, rate cut bets exceed 60%
ChainCatcher news, according to Golden Ten Data, ADP employment data shows that the U.S. labor market is slowing down, leading to a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury futures and a decline in the U.S. dollar index. U.S. 10-year Treasury futures rose, with the implied yield falling by 4 basis points from Monday's close of 4.12%. Bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut in the currency market have increased, with pricing showing more than a 60% chance of a rate cut next month.
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Overseas capital is aggressively buying US stocks! Net inflows reached $942 billions over the past 12 months, marking a record since 1985.
According to data from the US Department of the Treasury, in the 12 months ending July this year, overseas investors made net purchases of US stocks totaling $942 billion, marking the highest rolling 12-month total since records began in 1985. The net purchases in the second quarter alone reached $426 billion, setting a new single-quarter record. Meanwhile, overseas demand for US Treasuries has noticeably cooled, with purchase volumes falling significantly. As a result, the US is facing higher costs in government debt financing.
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