The Federal Reserve faces a tough decision at the December meeting, with the probability of a rate cut being about equal.

According to ChainCatcher, citing Golden Ten Data, Aaron Hill, Chief Market Analyst at FP Markets, stated in a report that the recent government shutdown has resulted in a lack of official data, posing a challenging dilemma for the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting. There are internal divisions and continued caution within the Federal Reserve. Although some officials support rate cuts, "a meaningful hawkish repricing has already occurred." LSEG data shows that the probability of a rate cut versus maintaining current rates in the money market is roughly equal at present.