The Federal Reserve expects to lower the federal funds rate to the 3.25%-3.5% range by 2026.
Jinse Finance reported that a Reuters survey showed that out of 100 economists, 50 expect the Federal Reserve to lower the federal funds rate to the 3.25%-3.5% range in the first quarter of 2026; another 89 economists said the Federal Reserve is expected to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to the 3.5%-3.75% range on December 10.
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Under the dual pressure of energy and political risks, the euro has fallen to a near two-month low, with 60% of options traders betting on further weakening.
After the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, the euro fell to a nearly two-month low, with about 60% of options bets anticipating further weakness; energy concerns and political risks in Germany and France are adding pressure. Morgan Stanley is bearish, while Deutsche Bank expects the euro to fluctuate within a range.
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