Market Analysis: The Federal Reserve May Consider Restarting Reserve Management Bond Purchases
Jinse Finance reported that some analysts believe that, in addition to guiding interest rates downward, the Federal Reserve may decide at today's meeting to begin expanding its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds. However, the purpose of this move is different from the quantitative easing during the financial crisis or the COVID-19 pandemic—it is not intended to stimulate the economy, but rather to ensure that the scale of bank reserves can remain stable or even moderately expand in line with economic growth. (If the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet remains unchanged, as public demand for cash continues to rise, reserves within the banking system will gradually decrease.) New York Fed President Williams stated in a recent speech that the Federal Reserve may soon enter a stage suitable for such operations. However, it should be noted that announcing the restart of such bond purchases at today's meeting is not a certainty.
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Federal Reserve’s Perli: The Fed’s bond purchases will be adjusted according to market conditions, monitoring signals of financing pressure, and maintaining ample reserves.
New York Fed official Perli stated that the current scale of reserve management bond purchases is zero, and future adjustments will be made according to "evolving market conditions," in order to implement the policy of keeping reserves within an ample range. The New York Fed will continue to monitor senior financial officials' assessments of market conditions and track signs of stress in the funding markets. Market participants expect a new round of large-scale net issuance of short-term Treasury bills in October.
