Can a US-Iran nuclear deal be reached in 2026? Even if Trump remains silent, what are cryptocurrency investors betting on?

According to a report by Bijie Network: On the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of a US-Iran nuclear agreement being reached has surged, once climbing to 57% and eventually stabilizing at 53%, a significant increase from 30% a week ago. This shift stems from optimistic remarks made by Iran's Foreign Minister, who described the recent indirect talks as "productive," but emphasized that the prerequisite is the lifting of US sanctions. Meanwhile, the market shows a sharp decline in the probability of the US launching a military strike against Iran. More than $23,000 in bets have been placed on this outcome, and the final result will depend on whether the two sides reach a publicly announced agreement before the end of the year.