Nick Timiraos, known as the "New Fed whisperer," pointed out that the dot plot released by the Federal Reserve this time shows a clearly hawkish stance.
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Among the 18 Federal Reserve officials, 9 predict that at least one more rate hike will occur this year, with 6 of them expecting multiple hikes to be implemented. In stark contrast, only one official anticipates that rate cuts will be introduced this year; additionally, one participant (presumed to be Federal Reserve Chair Walsh) did not submit a Summary of Economic Projections (SEP).At the same time, the Federal Reserve's policy statement this time underwent comprehensive adjustments from beginning to end, with the text being noticeably shorter than before. Overall, this meeting saw a significant shift in the framework of policy communication, and previous market expectations regarding interest rate trends are likely to be recalibrated as a result.
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