Silver Price Forecasts: XAG/USD licks its wounds above $61.00 amid a strong US Dollar
Silver (XAG/USD) nurses marginal losses, trading a few cents above the $61.00 level on Wednesday’s European trading session. The pair remains on the defensive following a 5.3% sell-off on Tuesday, as investors brace for Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes and reports from the Middle East conflict cloud hopes of a durable peace deal.
Precious metals continue bleeding as traders position for higher interest rates in the US. Recent US data has shown a resilient economy with inflation steady well above the Fed’s target, and the central bank’s rhetoric pivoting towards the hawkish side. The CME’s Fed Watch Tool shows a 36% chance of a rate hike in July and 68% in September, up from 28% and 50%, respectively, last week, before the latest monetary policy meeting.
Apart from that, the US Dollar is drawing additional support from investors’ scepticism about the outcome of the US trade deal and a sell-off in stock markets. Investors are taking profits amid growing concerns about the massive spending in the sector.
Technical Analysis: Below $60.00, the next target is the $58.00 area
XAG/USD hit fresh 2026 lows at $60.74 earlier on the day, but so far it is failing to find acceptance below the $61.00 level. Momentum indicators are approaching oversold levels in most timeframes, which should act as a warning for sellers.
The Relative Strength Index (14) in 4-hour charts is hovering around 30, flirting with oversold territory, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains below zero, hinting that selling pressure still dominates despite the stretched conditions.
Below session lows at the mentioned $60.74 and the psychological level at $60.00, bears might be attracted by the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of last week's decline, at $58.25, before the December 4 low, at $56.47. Upside attempts remain shallow so far, with previous support at $63.31 and Monday's highs at the $67.00 area likely to pose a significant challenge for bulls.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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