Morgan Stanley: The yield spread between Italian and German 10-year bonds may widen in the short term and then narrow afterwards
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They stated: “Our framework indicates that the 10-year BTP versus German bund [yield spread] will see a brief widening at the start of the month, followed by a period of narrowing lasting until mid-September, with a median change of about 8 basis points.” According to Tradeweb data, the current 10-year BTP versus German bund yield spread is 78 basis points.
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