ECB’s Kocher: Next decisions will be either hike or hold
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Martin Kocher said in the European trade on Wednesday that the next monetary policy move by the central bank will either be a hold or a hike, citing that higher wages could keep inflationary pressures elevated.
Additional Remarks
Wage deals could keep inflation elevated.
Inflation threat lower, not completely contained.
Market reaction
No immediate reaction was observed in the Euro (EUR) after ECB Kocher's comments. At press time, EUR/USD trades 0.22% lower at around 1.1395.
Kocher flags wage risks as ECB keeps hike option alive
FXS Speechtracker shows Kocher’s latest score at 7.1, notably above the historic average of 5.9, signaling a more hawkish tone than usual. The warning that wage deals could keep inflation elevated and that the next decisions will be either hike or hold underscores a clear bias against early easing, supporting a firmer Euro backdrop.
By stating that the inflation threat is lower but not completely contained, Kocher reinforces the case for keeping restrictive policy on the table. This combination of wage vigilance and a live hike option suggests upside risks for Euro rates and limits downside for the Euro in the near term.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
High interest rates are not the "end" of US stocks? Is profitability the real key?
JPMorgan believes that profit growth is the key factor determining the resilience of U.S. stock valuations. Data since 1950 shows an "inverted U-shaped" relationship between the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and S&P 500 valuations. Based on current profit levels, yields would need to reach about 5%-6% to significantly compress valuations. As long as profit growth remains above 15%, there is still room for valuations to be re-rated. If the yield curve steepens in a bear market, cyclical sectors such as energy and financials will benefit more; if it flattens, technology stocks will have a relative advantage.
The "Outlier" Investment Art in the New Era of Berky

Metaplanet to launch Hong Kong Bitcoin investment subsidiary with $1 million capital
Chevron (CVX.US) explores alternative hedging for Middle East supply disruptions: targets Argentina and the Mediterranean to drive global LNG growth, seeks deal with India
Chevron is focusing on Argentina and the Mediterranean region, seeking global growth in liquefied natural gas, and plans to reach an agreement with India.

