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Is Robinhood a "falling knife" or a golden opportunity after plunging 40%?

Is Robinhood a "falling knife" or a golden opportunity after plunging 40%?

米股研报站米股研报站2026/07/09 09:13
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By:米股研报站
Robinhood's stock price has dropped more than 50% from its high, but the business fundamentals are actually very solid! Revenue is projected to reach $45 billion in 2025, up 52% year-on-year, and platform assets have soared to $3.24 trillion. The market is overly concerned. 🚀 New growth engines have been activated The company is no longer just about stock commissions! Its highly profitable prediction market now handles over 12 billion contracts annually; banking business deposits have surpassed $1.5 billion; margin lending has doubled year-on-year. Robinhood is transforming from a trading platform into a “financial super app.” 💰 In-depth valuation analysis (core highlights!) Valuation is tightly correlated with Bitcoin’s price, as crypto trading accounts for nearly 30% of its revenue: Scenario 1: BTC = 90,000 → Target price $128 Scenario 2: BTC = 120,000 → Target price $170 Scenario 3: BTC = 150,000 → Target price $205 The current stock price is about $90, corresponding to only about 20 times the expected 2026 EBITDA, compared to historical levels of 40x+, indicating a significant discount. 🎯 Investment highlights: PDT rule relaxation is attracting more young traders Diversified revenues with an increasing share from high-profit segments The Q1 report could be a catalyst for the stock price Risk reminders: trading volume volatility, and banking business execution challenges. However, overly pessimistic expectations have already been priced in, and the timing for early positioning is approaching. Find more great content at U.S. Stock Research Station Robinhood#ValueInvesting#Fintech#USStockAnalysis#InvestmentOpportunities
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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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