Analysts signal major ADA upside if Cardano holds $6.83 billion support

Key market structure and ADA’s potential reversal

Technical analyst Vuori Trading identified the $6.83 billion mark as a strong support area where past cycles have attracted considerable buyer momentum. The analyst noted that maintaining this level is essential for preserving a positive market outlook, while a drop below it could indicate a shift towards weakness for Cardano’s ADA token.

Cardano has experienced an extended period of ranging price action following its previous highs. ADA has remained above its key support, with traders watching closely for signs of a reversal or further decline.

A separate assessment by trader Jesse Olson emphasized Cardano’s ability to achieve two upside targets before retracing toward critical support levels mapped out by trend indicators. Olson pointed out that this retracement could help ADA form a higher low—an encouraging signal by bullish standards, especially compared to similar patterns observed in Ethereum.

Cardano has broken above its descending daily trendline, advancing to the $0.19–$0.20 area and remaining above previous resistance. The main support area now stands at $0.168–$0.172, and holding above this zone could enable a further push to $0.22 and eventually to $0.235–$0.24.

Technical indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), signal low momentum levels for ADA. Historically, such readings have preceded price rebounds and potential trend reversals.

Mini dictionary: Relative Strength Index (RSI), a popular technical analysis tool used to measure the speed and change of price movements, indicating whether an asset is overbought or oversold.

Fibonacci projections suggest massive upside

According to the analysis by Vuori Trading, Fibonacci extension methods indicate that ADA’s next key target would be a market cap of $37 billion, with a longer-term projection at $569.5 billion, should a major market rally occur. In an optimistic scenario, ADA’s price could multiply by up to 80 times during a strong crypto bull run.

Analysts view the combination of deeply oversold technical indicators, key support retention, and high upside projections as a possible setup for a significant ADA rally, contingent on broader crypto market dynamics.

Cardano founder’s confident outlook

Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano, remains confident about the network’s trajectory, describing 2026 as a year in which Cardano will be in stronger shape. Hoskinson anticipates that Cardano will secure its place among the top ten digital assets by market capitalization.

He attributed ongoing growth prospects to development initiatives such as the Midnight side chain and broader ecosystem expansion, emphasizing technological and infrastructure progress over short-term price movements.

Hoskinson’s optimism reflects the sentiment among a segment of the Cardano community who expect further development and adoption, potentially supporting future price action.

Mini dictionary: Charles Hoskinson is a blockchain developer and entrepreneur, best known as the founder of Cardano and a co-founder of Ethereum.

Hoskinson has stressed that Cardano’s long-term growth will be driven by its infrastructure and application ecosystem, not just its market price.