Technical Analysis: Wave C drives gold price rebound, short-term target is the $4048-$4069 range
智通财经2026/07/21 03:16Show original
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- Driven by the c wave, spot gold is likely to further rebound to the target range of $4,048 to $4,069 per ounce. Gold price has briefly moved back above the short-term resistance level of $4,026, a level that has gained further technical significance due to the confluence with the upper boundary of the descending channel.
- Gold price continues to test this resistance level, suggesting that the downward trend initiated from the $4,202 high may be preparing to reverse. Previously, gold price had been restricted within a clear descending channel, and the repeated attempts to break above the upper boundary now suggest that downward pressure is gradually easing.
- According to the measured move projection of the descending channel, the theoretical upside target points to $4,138. However, given the current rebound remains limited by the suppression of medium-term moving averages, reaching this target is difficult. A more realistic target remains focused within the $4,048 to $4,069 range.
- The daily chart indicates that gold price has stabilized successfully in the support zone around $3,965. Currently, the market may be undergoing a second wave of rebound—the first wave of rebound was completed near the June 30 low of $3,943. The current rebound is in the c wave phase, which retains technical potential for further upward testing towards $4,172.
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