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Canada's Methanex Q2 revenue and adjusted EPS rise less than expected

Canada's Methanex Q2 revenue and adjusted EPS rise less than expected

ReutersReuters2026/07/28 21:11
By:Reuters


Overview

  • Canada methanol producer's Q2 revenue, adjusted EPS and EBITDA missed analyst expectations

  • Record adjusted EBITDA driven by higher realized prices and strong North American output

  • Company indefinitely idled Titan plant in Trinidad, recording $115 mln asset impairment charge


Outlook

  • Methanex expects 2026 methanol production of about 9.0 mln tonnes and ammonia at 0.3 mln tonnes

  • Company expects July-Aug average realized price between $460 and $485 per tonne

  • Methanex expects lower Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 due to lower realized price and similar sales


Result Drivers

  • HIGHER REALIZED PRICES - Co said record adjusted EBITDA was largely due to higher methanol prices following significant industry supply losses

  • NORTH AMERICAN OUTPUT - Strong production at Geismar and Medicine Hat supported results, offsetting declines elsewhere

  • REGIONAL PRODUCTION DECLINES - Output fell in Chile, New Zealand and Trinidad due to gas constraints, planned outages and unplanned disruptions


Company press release: ID:nGNX8KVfgc


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Revenue

Miss

$1.4 bln

$1.46 bln (6 Analysts)

Q2 Adjusted EPS

Miss

$3.87

$3.99 (7 Analysts)

Q2 EPS

$2.45

Q2 Adjusted Net Income

Miss

$300 mln

$315.67 mln (3 Analysts)

Q2 Net Income

$198 mln

Q2 Adjusted EBITDA

Miss

$577 mln

$583.79 mln (6 Analysts)

Q2 Basic EPS

$2.56


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 4 "strong buy" or "buy", 2 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the commodity chemicals peer group is "buy"

  • The stock recently traded at 8 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 13 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • July 28 - Greif fiscal Q3 revenue beats estimates on higher prices

  • July 28 - EU to impose provisional duties on Chinese sodium benzoate

  • July 28 - Air Liquide reaffirms margin targets as investors await backlog payoff


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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