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CORRECTED-Porch Group Q2 adjusted core profit eases past estimates; annual outlook lifted

CORRECTED-Porch Group Q2 adjusted core profit eases past estimates; annual outlook lifted

ReutersReuters2026/07/29 20:17

Corrects metric labels to "Shareholder Interest Revenue" to "Revenue", and "Shareholder Interest Net Income" to "Net Income Attributable", in table


Overview

  • U.S. homeowners insurer's Q2 revenue grew 12% yr/yr, driven by Insurance Services segment

  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 beat analyst expectations, rising 150% yr/yr

  • Company raised full-year guidance on strong Insurance Services growth and policy momentum


Outlook

  • Porch raises 2026 revenue guidance to $506 mln-$517 mln from $495 mln-$507 mln

  • Company lifts 2026 gross profit outlook to $419 mln-$429 mln from $401 mln-$413 mln

  • Porch increases 2026 adjusted EBITDA forecast to $119 mln-$125 mln from $103 mln-$109 mln


Result Drivers

  • INSURANCE SERVICES GROWTH - Insurance Services revenue rose 38% yr/yr, leading segment growth

  • POLICY VOLUME - Reciprocal Policies Written grew 38% yr/yr, with new customer RWP up 206% yr/yr

  • DISTRIBUTION EXPANSION - Agency branch locations producing in Q2 rose 148% yr/yr, quote volumes up 87%


Company press release: ID:nBw9hTt0Fa


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Revenue

$140.90 mln

Q2 Net Income Attributable to Porch

$5.60 mln

Q2 Adjusted EBITDA

Beat

$39.10 mln

$25.12 mln (7 Analysts)


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 6 "strong buy" or "buy", 1 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the software peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Porch Group Inc is $16.25, about 28.7% above its July 28 closing price of $12.63

  • The stock recently traded at 127 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 54 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • July 28 - Slide Insurance Q2 net income nearly doubles on premium growth

  • July 29 - Insurer Lemonade Inc's Q2 revenue rises on premium growth

  • July 27 - Brown Brown's second-quarter profit rises on fee, commission growth


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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