Bitget App
Trade smarter
Buy cryptoMarketsTradeFuturesStocksEarnInstitutionAI & More
Mapping XLM’s price prediction as buyers defend Stellar’s breakout

Mapping XLM’s price prediction as buyers defend Stellar’s breakout

AMBCryptoAMBCrypto2026/09/29 20:03
By:AMBCrypto

Stellar’s recovery is gaining strength as buyers are successfully defending multiple levels of support rather than waiting for a single sharp breakout. As Stellar [XLM] fell to $0.170 on the 9th of September, it formed several higher lows.

Each time XLM attempted to extend into new territory, the corrections were large enough to create a higher base for the next advance.

On the 14th of September, after the first break out at $0.198, the price pulled back slightly, and by the 15th of September, it had retreated to $0.177.

@media only screen and (min-width: 0px) and (min-height: 0px) { div[id^="bsa-zone_1774359638628-7_123456"] { min-height: 50px; transition: min-height 0.3s ease; } } @media only screen and (min-width: 640px) and (min-height: 0px) { div[id^="bsa-zone_1774359638628-7_123456"] { min-height: 90px; } }
AD

Then buyers maintained control and continued to drive the price from $0.183 through $0.213 by the 21st of September.

Then the price dropped to approximately $0.200 before it rebounded off the area and established a four-session consolidation range between $0.205 and $0.225.

This pause allowed the moving averages to recover some of their lag against price before the breakout at $0.228 on the 28th of September. XLM then went on to reach a high at $0.234 before pulling back slightly to a close at $0.2301.

The short-term EMA structure remains positive, as the 20-day EMA is currently above the major EMAs. The RSI remained bullish, standing at 62.21. However, lower momentum readings than those seen previously are creating a mild bearish divergence.

If buyers can continue to defend $0.225, this will likely allow them to maintain their current structure, while $0.205–$0.210 remains the deeper trend test.

XLM retests the $0.225 breakout zone

At the time of writing, the altcoin was up 7.28% in the last 24 hours while trading at $0.2290. Traders now have a clear level to watch as price retests the breakout zone near $0.225–$0.230.

The initial breakout at $0.234 has resulted in a pullback test to determine if prior breakout areas are supported by buyers or sellers.

A strong buy zone around $0.225 suggests demand remains concentrated there, giving bulls a defined level to defend. Traders can therefore watch how price reacts around $0.225 rather than chase the earlier move.

Holding this zone would strengthen the case that resistance has turned into support. A recovery above $0.230 would then put the $0.234 high back within reach.

However, a decisive break below $0.220 would change the setup, signaling that buyers are failing to protect the breakout. That would increase the risk of a deeper retracement toward lower support.

For now, the risk is clearly defined, where $0.225 is the key defense, while $0.230–$0.234 marks the upside path.

Final Summary

  • Stellar remains bullish after rising from $0.170 to $0.234, with rising EMAs supporting the broader recovery.
  • XLM’s $0.225 support is crucial, with a hold keeping $0.234 in focus while a break below $0.220 will weaken the setup.
0
0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

Understand the market, then trade.
Bitget offers one-stop trading for cryptocurrencies, stocks, and gold.
Trade now!

You may also like

Nvidia quietly redefines free cash flow, is there something fishy in the $100 billion buyback plan?

Nvidia has classified its equity investments in 242 companies, including OpenAI and Anthropic, as "strategic use" and deducted them from its free cash flow. After this adjustment, free cash flow for the first half of the fiscal year plummeted from the official figure of $69.9 billion to $21.7 billion, a decrease of nearly 70%. Meanwhile, the company added $24.9 billion in long-term debt to support buybacks, casting doubt on the sustainability of its $235 billion buyback plan.

华尔街见闻•2026/10/10 01:26

Deutsche Bank: The bursting of the AI bubble may become the biggest systemic risk in the market next year; U.S. Treasury bonds are expected to attract safe-haven funds.

George Saravelos, Global Head of FX Research at Deutsche Bank, stated that since the beginning of this year, global investors' pessimism toward the bond market has become excessive. He believes the market may be underestimating the likelihood of large-scale capital flows into the bond market if significant risks emerge in the artificial intelligence industry.

智通财经•2026/10/09 23:41
Deutsche Bank: The bursting of the AI bubble may become the biggest systemic risk in the market next year; U.S. Treasury bonds are expected to attract safe-haven funds.

Risks Hidden Behind S&P 500 Record Highs: Most Constituent Stocks Underperform, Rising Oil Prices and U.S. Treasury Yields Intensify Market Divergence

Persistently high oil prices and borrowing costs are impacting the bond, credit, and small-cap stock markets, while the strong performance of large technology stocks is masking the increasingly evident divergence within the U.S. stock market.

智通财经•2026/10/09 23:36