As the U.S. Supreme Court rules, tariff revenue surges over 300%
The U.S. government's fiscal deficit in January narrowed compared to the same period last year, while tariff revenues surged, highlighting the crucial impact of the long-awaited Supreme Court ruling on federal fiscal health.
Customs tariff revenues for the month reached $30 billion, with a cumulative total of $124 billion so far this fiscal year—an increase of 304% compared to the same period in fiscal year 2025.
In April 2025, President Trump imposed tariffs for the first time, levying comprehensive tariffs on all goods and services entering the United States and introducing so-called "reciprocal tariffs" targeting multiple countries. Since then, the White House has continued negotiations with trade partners, easing some aggressive tariffs, but remaining tough on related issues.
Last November, the Supreme Court held oral arguments on the legality of Trump’s tariffs, with a decision originally scheduled for January this year. The Supreme Court has yet to issue a ruling. The White House is concerned that if the decision is unfavorable, the U.S. may have to refund all tariffs collected to date.
Tariff revenues have effectively eased the growth rate of the budget deficit.
According to a U.S. Treasury Department report, the fiscal deficit for the fourth month of this fiscal year (January) was about $95 billion, a decrease of approximately 26% year-on-year.
Data not adjusted for the calendar show that the federal fiscal deficit so far this fiscal year is $697 billion, a 17% decrease compared to the same period in fiscal year 2025; after calendar adjustments, the deficit declined by 21%.
The interest on the U.S. debt, which amounts to $38.6 trillion, remains a heavy burden on national finances. Net interest expenditures in January totaled $76 billion, second only to spending on Medicare, Social Security, and healthcare. So far this fiscal year, total interest expenditures have reached $426.5 billion, up from $392.2 billion in the same period last year.
Editor: Ding Wenwu
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Intel CEO: CPU only meets 50% of demand, 14A to start production in Q1 next year, new architecture may reduce inference power consumption to 1/15 of GPU
Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger stated that the era of AI agents has triggered an explosion in CPU demand, and Intel is currently able to meet only about 50% of its customers' supply needs, with several tech giant CEOs calling to secure supply. In terms of manufacturing process, the 18A node is now in full mass production, while the 14A node will begin production in the first quarter of next year. By opening up factory data, yield rates are improving by about 7% annually. Additionally, he is advancing neuromorphic computing to address energy consumption bottlenecks and expects quantum computing to have a substantial industrial impact within 3 to 5 years.
Reportedly, the US urges Japan to "increase" defense spending; Tokyo considers a 3.5% GDP target, bond market and yen come under pressure first
Under pressure from the United States, Japan is considering setting a new medium-term defense spending target, planning to increase its defense expenditure to 3.5% of GDP to align with NATO and other U.S. allies.

The logic of "cheap yen financing" is changing! Funds are reallocating "carry trades" as Swiss franc and Swedish krona compete for the funding currency position
The appeal of yen financing has diminished, and carry traders have recently turned their attention to the franc and the krona. With the yen’s recent surge making it a less reliable investment option, currencies such as the Swedish krona and Swiss franc are becoming primary funding choices for carry trades.

