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Data Brief - Major Brokerages' Predictions for the S&P 500 Index in 2026

Data Brief - Major Brokerages' Predictions for the S&P 500 Index in 2026

Stifel and Jefferies have updated their forecasts. Reuters, October 6 – Global brokerages expect the benchmark S&P 500 Index (.SPX) to extend its rally into 2026, betting on the momentum of artificial intelligence and strong corporate profits, while the war in Iran (link) continues to weigh on investor sentiment. Strategists predict robust AI-driven earnings will offset the short-term economic impacts of Middle East conflicts, though concerns about rising inflation and global energy supply disruptions persist. Major brokerages, including Goldman Sachs and Citigroup, expect the benchmark index to reach 8,000 points or higher by year-end. In contrast, BofA Global Research and Wells Fargo remain more cautious, with forecast levels (link) below the consensus. Here are some forecasts for the index's performance this year: Brokerage S&P 500 Target for 2026 BofA Global Research 7,400 Concord Financial 7,500 BNP Paribas 7,500 Wells Fargo 7,700 Evercore ISI 7,750 Seaport Research Partners 7,800 RBC Capital Markets 7,900 Stifel 7,900 Barclays 7,950 Jefferies 8,000 JPMorgan 8,000 Deutsche Bank 8,000 Société Générale 8,000 Goldman Sachs 8,000 Morgan Stanley 8,000 UBS Global Research 8,100 Oppenheimer Asset Management 8,100 Citigroup 8,100 UBS Global Wealth Management 8,100 HSBC 8,100 Wells Fargo Investment Institute 7,800-8,000 *UBS Global Research and UBS Global Wealth Management are two separate business divisions under UBS Group. *Wells Fargo Investment Institute is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Wells Fargo. (To facilitate non-English speakers, Reuters automatically translates its reports into several other languages. Since automated translations may be inaccurate or lack necessary context, Reuters does not guarantee the accuracy of these texts and provides them only for reader convenience. Reuters accepts no liability for any damages or loss caused by the use of automated translation features.)

路透社•2026-10-06 09:36
Major Banks Set to Report Earnings Amid Rising Yield Environment, UBS Says

Major Banks Set to Report Earnings Amid Rising Yield Environment, UBS Says

02:15 PM EDT, 10/05/2026 (MT Newswires) -- Third-quarter earnings for major banks will unfold against a backdrop of rising Treasury yields, with earnings estimates of Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) sitting well below Wall Street's views, UBS Securities said in a note Monday. Earlier this month, the 10-year Treasury yield hit the highest level since April 2002, hitting as high as 5.24%. The 10-year yield is seen as a proxy for rates on mortgages and other loans. "A key theme we expect to hear discussed on earnings calls this quarter is, of course, the current rate environment, in which we have seen long-term treasury yields reach their highest levels in years," UBS analyst Erika Najarian said. Banks have underperformed the S&P 500 by 9.3% since the 10-year yield hit about 5%, according to the UBS note. History suggests that a climb in the 10-year rate above 5% tends to have a negative impact on market multiples. "We think investors will be sensitive to any management commentary on how longer-term rates impact business momentum," Najarian said. "In the medium term, we think any signal that long-term rates have reached their peak will be supportive of bank shares." A higher rate backdrop puts deposit costs back in focus, Najarian wrote. Last month, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in just over three years to combat sticky inflation. The central bank's so-called "dot plot" signaled that a further rate increase could happen later this year. The US big bank earnings season kicks off next week. UBS lowered its third-quarter earnings-per-share estimates for Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America (BAC), Wells Fargo (WFC) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM). It raised the outlook for Citigroup (C). Of the six banks, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan and Citigroup are likely to miss estimates, with Goldman and Morgan Stanley expected to see the biggest shortfall, according to the note. Bank of America and Wells Fargo are seen topping Wall Street's EPS views. UBS slashed Goldman's third-quarter

MT newswire•2026-10-05 18:15

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In 2032, the GS price is expected to change by +25.00%. By the end of 2032, the GS price is projected to reach $0.00, with a cumulative ROI of 0.00%.
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