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According to Coinglass data, if Ethereum falls below $4,400, the cumulative long order liquidation volume on major CEXs will reach 1.20 billion. Conversely, if Ethereum breaks through $4,600, the cumulative short order liquidation volume on major CEXs will reach 1.162 billion. Before the interest rate cut storm arrives, it's best to trade less and wait and see. Don't focus on making money; the most important thing is to manage your capital risk. Today's Market Analysis BTC should keep an eye on 115,174. The 2-4 hour closing price must be above this level for a chance of rising. Focus on resistance levels around 116,120, 116,781, and 117,320. If the 2-4 hour closing price is below this level, it indicates insufficient momentum. Focus on support levels around 114,410, 113,616, and 112,626. For ETH, keep an eye on 4530. The 2-4 hour closing price must be above this level for a potential rally. Focus on resistance levels around 4584-4637-4672! If the 2-4 hour closing price is below this level, momentum is insufficient. Focus on support levels around 4459-4404-4352! For BNB, keep an eye on 923. The 2-4 hour closing price must be above this level for a potential rally. Focus on resistance levels around 930-937-945! If the 2-4 hour closing price is below this level, momentum is insufficient. Focus on support levels around 910-903-895! Keep an eye on 238 for SOL. The 2-4 hour closing price must be above this level for a potential uptick. Focus on resistance around 241-244-247! If the 2-4 hour closing price is below this level, momentum is insufficient. Focus on support around 231-226-222!

1️⃣ Trading Recommendations • Strategy: Short on rebounds, with strict stop-loss • Short Entry Zone: 118,499 – 118,800 (especially when approaching resistance and RSI > 60) • Stop-Loss: Above 119,655 (a breakout indicates trend reversal to bullish) • Take-Profit Targets: • TP1: 116,000 (4H lower band) • TP2: 115,700 (daily strong support) • Position Size: ≤5% (volatility at 3.73%, relatively high risk) • Alternative Long Setup: If price breaks and holds above 119,655, consider long on retest of 118,411 (4H mid-band), with SL at 117,500. ⸻ 2️⃣ Key Market Data • Spot Price: 118,289 • 24h Change: +0.91% • Volatility: 3.73% • 24h High / Low: 118,800 / 116,932 ⸻ 3️⃣ Technical Indicators • RSI (1H): 56.5 → Neutral, close to overbought if >60 • MACD (4H): Weak bullish momentum, histogram flattening • Bollinger Bands (4H): Price near upper band (118,800), mid-band at 118,411, lower band at 116,000 ⸻ 4️⃣ Key Levels to Watch • Resistance: 118,499 – 118,800 • Major Resistance: 119,655 (if broken, trend bias shifts bullish) • Supports: 118,411 (4H mid-band), 116,000 (lower band), 115,700 (daily support)